Зміст

Автор

Колишній офіцер британської армії, спеціаліст із ведення спостереження та виявлення цілей, а також менеджер проєктів (engagement manager) у Bain & Company; має понад десять років досвіду роботи в консалтингу, сфері прямих інвестицій та венчурного капіталу в країнах Західної Європи.

Ukraine has created one of Europe’s most active defence-technology markets. Engineering teams receive operational feedback quickly, products change in response to new threats, and the distance between prototype and deployment can be shorter than in conventional procurement systems. Those conditions can produce valuable technology. They can also conceal weak governance, disputed intellectual property, fragile production and claims that have travelled further than the evidence behind them.

An investor therefore needs to assess two propositions at once: whether the technology solves a real defence problem and whether the company can convert that advantage into a lawful, scalable business. That makes independent defence-sector due diligence part of the investment process, not a final compliance formality.

This guide explains the main routes into Ukrainian defence tech, the role of BRAVE1 and regional networks, the legal and funding mechanisms available in 2026, and the evidence investors should examine before committing capital.

Key Takeaways

  • Ukraine’s advantage lies in fast operational feedback, experienced engineering teams and an expanding domestic production base. It does not mean every product or company is battle-tested.
  • Investors can gain exposure through a specialist fund, a direct investment, or a strategic partnership, joint venture or grant-backed programme. Each route changes the investor’s control, workload and risk.
  • BRAVE1 and industry clusters can help build a pipeline and explain procurement needs. Participation, accreditation or a grant is not an investment-grade approval.
  • The deal structure must reflect Ukrainian corporate law, the target’s eligibility for Diia.City or Defence City, export controls, tax, intellectual property and current foreign-exchange rules.
  • Technical claims should be tied to a named product version, dated test evidence, documented customer use and independently checked production data.
  • Wartime risk cannot be removed. It can be mapped, allocated through the transaction documents and monitored after closing.

Why Ukrainian Defence Tech Attracts Investors

The full-scale invasion forced Ukrainian teams to work against short technology cycles. A successful system can lose effectiveness once an adversary changes frequencies, tactics, software or countermeasures. Developers that remain close to military users learn quickly because delays have immediate consequences.

Investor mandates have also widened from dual-use technologies to products designed primarily for defence, although fund exclusions still vary.

This feedback loop creates four potential advantages.

Faster Product Iteration

Teams can move from an identified operational problem to a prototype, field feedback and another product version within a compressed period. The relevant investment question is not simply how fast a company once built a prototype. It is whether the business has a repeatable process for collecting authorised feedback, managing configurations, correcting failures and transferring the result into production.

Cost-to-Effect Discipline

Ukrainian developers often design around constrained budgets, contested communications and component shortages. That can favour modular systems, lower-cost unmanned platforms and software that works with existing hardware. Cost advantage should still be tested against the full mission cost: failure rate, operator training, maintenance, electronic-warfare losses, payload, integration and replacement cycles.

A Growing Industrial Base

In July 2026, the Ukrainian Government reported that domestically produced systems accounted for more than half of the weapons used on the battlefield. BRAVE1 reported nearly 1,000 grants worth more than UAH 5.8 billion over its first three years. These figures show state demand and development activity; they do not establish the value or readiness of an individual company.

Closer Links with European Defence Programmes

Ukraine’s defence industry is moving closer to European funding, testing and production channels. The EU and Ukraine created BraveTech EU to connect BRAVE1 with the European Defence Fund, the EU Defence Innovation Scheme and the European Defence Agency. Access remains programme-specific: investors must check the current call, eligible entity, control rules, technology-readiness level and permitted use of funds.

Areas of Sustained Operational Demand

Investor activity is concentrated in autonomous aerial, maritime and ground systems; electronic warfare and counter-UAS; battlefield software, AI and sensor fusion; resilient communications; and components that reduce dependence on vulnerable imports. Mine-action technology also addresses a long-term civil and security need in one of the world’s most heavily mine-affected countries.

Demand does not establish return potential. Investors should test addressable customers, procurement budgets, exportability, replacement cycles, integration costs and the product’s ability to remain useful as countermeasures change.

Where Investors Can Find Ukrainian Defence Companies

BRAVE1

BRAVE1’s investor platform is a starting point for company profiles, introductions and investor events. The cluster also runs grants and works with defence users on testing and adoption pathways.

BRAVE1 is not a regulatory white list. A grant, registration or successful test can help establish that a product exists and has entered a state process. It does not verify the cap table, beneficial owner, source of funds, IP chain, financial position, sanctions exposure or ability to manufacture at the volume claimed.

Industry and Regional Networks

IRON and other technology associations can introduce investors to teams with limited international fundraising experience. Kyiv remains a centre for company headquarters and software talent. Lviv and other western regions host relocated teams and manufacturing, while Kharkiv and Dnipro retain deep engineering capability. Odesa, Ivano-Frankivsk and Zakarpattia add maritime, logistics and regional technology networks.

These networks are useful sources, not substitutes for verification. An investor should establish what the introducer has actually checked, whether it has a financial interest in the deal and which claims remain untested.

Funds, Accelerators and Professional Referrals

Specialist fund managers can aggregate a pipeline and maintain local relationships. Accelerators, defence primes, legal advisers and existing portfolio founders can also produce opportunities. The source of an introduction should be recorded because referral chains may reveal undisclosed fees, conflicts or related-party relationships.

Three Routes to Invest

1. Invest Through a Specialist Fund

A fund can suit limited partners that want exposure without leading each transaction. The investor delegates sourcing, company-level review, board work and portfolio management to the general partner. This reduces the LP’s operating burden, not the underlying country or sector risk.

Fund due diligence should cover the manager’s legal domicile, mandate, defence exclusions, Ukraine experience, decision rights, fee structure, track record, valuation policy, conflicts, sanctions controls and ability to reserve capital for follow-on rounds. Investors should also confirm whether the fund can legally invest in Ukrainian entities or relies on foreign holding companies.

The NATO Innovation Fund is not a general route into Ukrainian-registered startups. Its current policy requires direct investment targets to be headquartered in one of the fund’s 24 participating Allied countries. A company’s activity in Ukraine or relevance to NATO customers does not by itself satisfy that requirement.

2. Invest Directly in a Company

Direct investment gives the investor more influence over terms, governance and information rights. It also places more responsibility on the investor to verify the founders, product, contracts, production and legal structure. For an early-stage target, venture capital due diligence should test the pitch against corporate, technical, commercial and financial evidence.

The target may be a Ukrainian limited liability company, a foreign holding company with a Ukrainian operating subsidiary, or a group with IP and manufacturing split across jurisdictions. A foreign parent is not automatically safer. It can introduce tax residence, substance, transfer-pricing, sanctions, IP, export-control and minority-protection questions of its own.

Diia.City gives qualifying Ukrainian technology companies access to investment instruments such as convertible loans, liquidation preferences, options and contractual warranties. Defence City is a separate voluntary regime for eligible defence-industrial companies. Its benefits depend on resident status, qualified income, annual compliance and permitted use of tax-exempt profit. Neither status proves product quality, solvency or investor protection.

Ukraine generally permits foreign investment, but defence transactions warrant a separate national-security analysis. The formal foreign-investment screening framework is still developing. Confirm the rules in force before signing and make any required clearance a closing condition.

Do not assume that a US SAFE or KISS form can be copied into a Ukrainian transaction. Local counsel should determine which instrument is enforceable, how conversion works, which entity issues the rights and how the agreement interacts with the charter, shareholders’ agreement and applicable tax rules.

3. Use a Strategic Partnership, Joint Venture or Grant-Backed Project

An industrial investor may prefer a joint development agreement, manufacturing partnership, licence or joint venture. This route can combine Ukrainian engineering and operational knowledge with foreign capital, production, certification and market access. The documents should define background IP, newly created IP, field-of-use rights, improvements, export decisions, information security and termination.

Public programmes can fund part of the development or production plan. BraveTech EU, call-specific European Defence Fund cascade funding and the Ukraine Support Instrument under EDIP are current examples. Eligibility changes between calls, and an award does not remove the need for commercial financing. Horizon Europe funds civilian research; a possible dual-use outcome does not turn it into a defence-procurement programme.

From Pitch to Evidence: Five Claims Investors Should Test

Defence-tech pitch decks often use the same short claims. Each one should lead to a defined evidence request.

“Combat-Tested”

Ask which product version was tested, when, by whom and under what conditions. Separate a controlled range test, limited unit trial, operational deployment and repeat procurement. Review dated reports, authorised user feedback, changes made after failures and any limits on what the evidence can prove. Do not request unit identities, live locations, raw operational telemetry or other information that creates a security risk.

“The Military Needs It”

An expression of interest is not a contract, and a contract is not proof of satisfactory performance. Check the customer, procurement route, delivery and acceptance records, payment status, repeat orders and customer concentration. Establish whether demand depends on one commander, one programme or a temporary procurement priority.

“Production Is Scalable”

Compare claimed capacity with actual monthly output, yield, work in progress, equipment, staff, bill of materials and working capital. Identify single-source components, foreign inputs, related-party suppliers and the time required to replace a damaged site. Apply third-party due diligence to critical suppliers, subcontractors and manufacturing partners.

“The Company Owns the Technology”

Trace code, designs, patents, know-how and technical documentation from the original creator to the entity receiving the investment. Review founder, employee, contractor, university and military-collaboration agreements. Where ownership or misuse remains unclear, intellectual property investigations can connect product material, domains, source history and related entities into an evidence trail.

“NATO-Ready and Exportable”

There is no single label that makes a product ready for every NATO customer. Ask for the exact standard, codification, test, approval or integration requirement being claimed. Exportability depends on product classification, destination, end user, re-export terms, the current critical-goods list and Ukraine’s domestic needs. Dual-use classification does not remove control.

The Main Due Diligence Workstreams

Founders, Ownership and Governance

Map the legal and beneficial owners across every entity in the group. Confirm share issuances, options, convertibles, pledges, voting arrangements and related parties. A beneficial ownership review should identify controllers and funding sources rather than stop at the declared cap table.

Screen founders, shareholders, directors and key counterparties against applicable Ukrainian and international sanctions. Investigate Russian and Belarusian exposure, activity in occupied territories, unresolved litigation, procurement conflicts, undisclosed state connections and reputational concerns. A name match is a lead; identifiers and control must be established before drawing a conclusion.

Technology, Cybersecurity and Operational Security

Technical review should examine performance, configuration management, safety, interoperability, dependencies and the roadmap for countering adversarial adaptation. A cyber security risk management review can surface exposed infrastructure, leaked credentials, weak access controls and third-party digital risk.

The diligence process itself can create exposure. Use a controlled data room, role-based access, logging and need-to-know disclosure. Redact unit details, facility locations and sensitive test data unless a cleared reviewer has a documented reason to receive them.

Production and Physical Continuity

Visit material facilities where security conditions permit, or use documented remote verification. Match equipment and staff to the claimed run rate. Review alternative sites, tooling duplication, power resilience, logistics, quality control, insurance where available and the recovery plan after a strike or supply interruption.

Customers, Procurement and Commercial Expansion

Verify contracts with the issuing authority and distinguish signed orders from memoranda, pilots and informal endorsements. Examine margins after warranty, repair, training and replacement costs. Test whether the company can serve international customers without weakening its Ukrainian obligations.

Export Control and Regulated Market Access

Ukraine introduced a controlled export mechanism for domestically produced weapons, components and defence technologies in July 2026. The simplified route can take up to 30 days, while the standard route can take up to 90 days. Approval depends on the buyer country, product, end use, critical-goods list and the manufacturer’s ability to meet Ukrainian demand. If the investment case depends on foreign sales, test it against Ukraine’s updated defence export rules.

Export law in the destination and any transit jurisdiction also matters. Investor nationality, foreign control, components of US or EU origin, technical-data access and sanctions can add further restrictions.

Financial Position and Currency Movement

Reconcile management accounts with bank statements, tax records, payroll, procurement data and material contracts. Check grant restrictions, related-party payments, contingent liabilities, state receivables and the cash required to finance production before customer payment.

Ukraine’s wartime foreign-exchange rules change frequently. Before signing, confirm the current rules for inbound capital, repayment, dividends, foreign-currency purchases and repatriation under the latest National Bank Resolution No. 18. Recheck them on each planned payment date.

A Practical Investment Process

  1. Set the mandate. Define the technology areas, stage, ticket size, jurisdictions, weapons exclusions, return requirements and tolerance for wartime exposure.
  2. Choose the route. Decide whether a fund, direct transaction, joint venture or grant-backed partnership gives the required control and access.
  3. Build and qualify the pipeline. Use BRAVE1, industry networks, investors and professional referrals, then record how each opportunity entered the pipeline and who benefits from the introduction.
  4. Run an evidence-based screen. Test ownership, sanctions, technology, customers, production, IP and financial claims before spending time on full diligence.
  5. Investigate material risks. Prioritise the issues that could change valuation, transaction structure, legal feasibility or the decision to proceed.
  6. Structure conditions and controls. Use closing conditions, reserved matters, information rights, IP covenants, security requirements, warranties and staged funding tied to verifiable milestones.
  7. Monitor after closing. Recheck ownership, sanctions, export rules, procurement concentration, production continuity and cybersecurity when a material event occurs.

What a Defensible Investment Decision Looks Like

Ukrainian defence tech gives investors access to fast development cycles, experienced teams and technologies shaped by real operational constraints. The same environment creates physical, legal, financial and information risks that a standard startup checklist will miss.

The strongest investment case does not rest on the words “combat-tested” or on one introduction from a trusted institution. It connects a defined military problem to verified performance, defensible IP, lawful market access, repeatable production and a governance structure that can survive growth and wartime disruption.

Molfar Intelligence’s due diligence services help investors verify the company, founders, ownership, counterparties and risk signals before capital is committed.

This article provides general information and does not replace legal, tax or investment advice for a specific transaction.

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2 Березня 2025

€900 мільйонів та ціна припущень

Справа про угоду з нерухомістю в ЄС на суму €900 млн, яка зараз перебуває під слідством, демонструє, чому інституційна репутація не може замінити структуровану перевірку Due Diligence.

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